IntelligenceBrief

Issue 014//6-minute read

Market View

Crypto is recovering from this week’s sharp sell-off, but the more important XRP story today is happening underneath price action. BatchV1_1 has entered XRPL’s activation countdown, while XRPL DEX activity has strengthened even as stablecoin liquidity remains softer. The market is bouncing. The bigger question is whether XRPL’s expanding technical capabilities start producing economically meaningful settlement, liquidity and collateral flows involving XRP.

Signal stack

Newsletter highlights

01

BatchV1_1 Is in the Activation Window

BatchV1_1 has crossed XRPL’s validator-majority threshold. Current network tracking projects activation around 29 September at 14:06 UTC, provided support remains above the required threshold for the full 14-day period. XRPL’s amendment process requires more than 80% validator support for two weeks. The latest dashboard reading showed 29 of 35 tracked validators supporting BatchV1_1—roughly 82%. It is therefore not live yet.

02

Atomic Settlement Removes a Real Workflow Constraint

XLS-56 allows between two and eight transactions to be grouped into a single Batch. Under its All-or-Nothing mode, either every transaction succeeds or none does. That matters for workflows such as token swaps, collateral movements and delivery-versus-payment, where an asset and its payment need to settle together rather than as separate operations. The XRP connection needs to stay precise. Batch fees are paid through XRPL’s normal XRP-denominated fee mechanism, and XRP itself can form part of a Batch. But tokenized securities, stablecoins or RLUSD transactions do not have to route through XRP simply because Batch exists.

03

The Security Fix Matters

The first Batch implementation contained a critical signature-validation flaw discovered in February. It had not activated on Mainnet, no funds were at risk, validators were instructed to vote against it, and the vulnerable implementation was prevented from activating. BatchV1_1 is the corrected replacement. That history matters because atomic financial transactions are useful only if their authorization model is reliable.

04

Traditional Markets Are Asking the Same 24-Hour Question

The SEC is holding its 24-hour trading roundtable today with participants including BlackRock, NYSE, UBS, BNY Pershing, State Street, Nasdaq, DTCC, Citadel Securities, Citi and BNP Paribas. Discussions cover overnight liquidity, market resilience, clearing and settlement, cybersecurity and the infrastructure needed for increasingly continuous markets. There is no confirmed Ripple, XRP or XRPL connection to the roundtable. The relevance is indirect: markets cannot become genuinely 24-hour unless cash, collateral and settlement infrastructure can also operate beyond traditional banking hours.

05

XRPZ Added Fresh Inflows

Franklin Templeton’s XRPZ recorded approximately $3.5 million in net inflows on 16 September, according to SoSoValue data reported today. It was reportedly the only U.S. XRP fund with positive flows for that session. That shows continuing demand for regulated XRP exposure. It does not show XRP being used for settlement, lending or collateral.

17 September 2026

Broader Market Pulse

Bitcoin logoBTCBitcoin
~$76,430
1.29% 24h
Ethereum logoETHEthereum
~$2,442.87
2.46% 24h
XRP logoXRPXRP
~$1.30
1.62% 24h
Total market cap~$2.69T | +0.82% 24h
BTC dominance~57.15%

Onchain Activity

DEX spot volume · 24h

$10.16B

Global DEX spot volume is approximately $10.16 billion over 24 hours, with weekly volume down around 5.3%. Trading activity has recovered somewhat day to day, but the broader liquidity backdrop remains cautious.

XRP logoXRPL$1.09B stablecoins
Ripple USD logoRLUSD~91.5% of XRPL total
Stablecoin supply$304.35B

Global stablecoin capitalization sits near $304.35 billion, down about 0.35% over seven days. XRPL stablecoin capitalization remains around $1.09 billion, with RLUSD representing about 91.5% of the total, while XRPL DEX volume has climbed to approximately $13.19 million over 24 hours and seven-day volume is about 22.6% higher. That is a better signal than yesterday: capital sitting on-chain remains softer, but the capital already there is trading more actively.

Fear & Greed

51Neutral

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Ecosystems to Watch

Base logoBaseTrading acceleration

Base holds roughly $5.5 billion in DeFi TVL and about $5.0 billion in stablecoins. Stablecoin capitalization is slightly lower over seven days, yet DEX volume has reached roughly $1.06 billion over 24 hours, with seven-day volume up around 11.8% in the latest snapshot.

11.8% 7d
Arbitrum logoArbitrumVolume versus liquidity

Arbitrum shows an even sharper contrast. TVL sits near $1.37 billion, while stablecoin capitalization has fallen roughly 11.4% over seven days to $3.65 billion. At the same time, seven-day DEX volume is up nearly 14.9%, and perpetual volume is also higher.

14.9% 7d

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Raydium logo

Project highlight · fee-funded RAY buybacks

Raydium

Raydium stands out because its token economics are tied to a product generating substantial real trading activity rather than relying purely on token incentives. The Solana-focused liquidity platform currently holds roughly $1.1 billion in TVL and has generated approximately $26.7 million in fees over 30 days, with around $4.4 million captured as protocol revenue in the latest DefiLlama snapshot. The link to RAY is explicit. Raydium routes 12% of trading fees from its major pool types toward RAY buybacks, while additional portions go to liquidity providers and, for some pools, the treasury. Importantly, the bought-back RAY is held at a publicly disclosed address rather than automatically burned, so buybacks should not be described as permanent supply destruction. The main weakness is dilution. Roughly 269.7 million RAY circulates against a 555 million maximum supply, with about 77.8% currently unlocked. DefiLlama estimates ongoing weekly unlocks equivalent to roughly 0.55% of circulating supply, while insiders represent 36% of the token allocation. Security also deserves attention: DefiLlama records two historical incidents, including a June 2026 event involving approximately $1.34 million. Raydium therefore has something many token economies lack—a measurable connection between product usage and token demand—but ongoing unlocks and security execution remain important counterweights.

$1.1B TVL$26.7M 30-day fees$4.4M 30-day protocol revenue
XRP Ledger logo

XRP & XRPL Positioning

The strongest direct XRPL catalyst today is BatchV1_1 approaching activation while network trading activity improves. If Batch activates, XRPL gains a native mechanism for coordinating complex financial transactions that previously required separate execution. That fits naturally with tokenization, stablecoins, collateral and delivery-versus-payment. The principal risk remains unchanged: XRPL can become more useful without creating equivalent demand for XRP. RLUSD can move without XRP acting as the settlement asset, tokenized securities can trade against other issued currencies, and Batch itself does not require XRP beyond normal network fees. The confirmation signal is therefore clear: watch for production applications using Batch where XRP repeatedly appears as liquidity, collateral, a bridge asset or the settlement asset.

Bottom Line

  1. 01BatchV1_1 is not live yet, but its activation countdown is the clearest XRPL technical catalyst today.
  2. 02Crypto prices and XRPL DEX activity are recovering, while stablecoin liquidity remains softer—making the quality of usage more important than headline growth alone.
  3. 03The XRP thesis strengthens when new XRPL infrastructure translates into recurring XRP-linked liquidity, collateral and settlement—not simply more network capability.

Sources

iTrustCapital

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